Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.656112 0.754030 0.860939 0.986249 1.129023 1.286552 1.473471
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.552615 0.694719 0.863450 1.078206 1.343918 1.661544 2.069724
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.464655 0.634464 0.852217 1.151004 1.549369 2.061196 2.767686
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.397434 0.585965 0.845564 1.227293 1.772271 2.519992 3.621146
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.330683 0.523982 0.808476 1.254669 1.933345 2.922588 4.468636
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.284884 0.482647 0.792210 1.307429 2.137964 3.417267 5.527603
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.237932 0.429545 0.747495 1.307155 2.259873 3.805053 6.485449
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.205875 0.394385 0.724631 1.336917 2.433016 4.297063 7.683102
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.171918 0.348719 0.675040 1.310902 2.505189 4.629828 8.661481
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.154722 0.330787 0.671675 1.366824 2.730810 5.258615 10.248612
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.141841 0.318680 0.676832 1.439014 2.996922 5.996227 12.138439
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.125281 0.295503 0.655761 1.454972 3.154728 6.550090 13.754433
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.109350 0.270859 0.628102 1.454283 3.282349 7.070397 15.395676
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.095994 0.249359 0.603420 1.455838 3.415293 7.621187 17.181741
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.085106 0.231486 0.583670 1.465032 3.566548 8.231994 19.184035
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.077304 0.219711 0.576078 1.501305 3.785224 9.019599 21.685590
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068249 0.202680 0.552543 1.494704 3.901753 9.594736 23.789048
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.062382 0.193100 0.546091 1.529894 4.125575 10.447955 26.657800
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.054970 0.177460 0.520822 1.511538 4.211553 10.985164 28.844586
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.050059 0.168166 0.511121 1.533503 4.405955 11.814389 31.865521
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.043711 0.152966 0.481899 1.495784 4.434242 12.229467 33.896014
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.041111 0.149256 0.485574 1.553683 4.736357 13.394035 38.033610
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.039255 0.147630 0.495291 1.631409 5.107418 14.791480 42.978103